The Neighbor of Myanmar hollowing Political structure and Regional peace

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By TON Research Section

The land of Elephants is now at the mercy of the Military regime. On February 1, the Military topples down San Suu Kyi's Government and arrested elected leaders in the early morning. Myanmar is also known as Burma and Myanmar on the map, situated on the chowk pint of sea roots. It also shares a long border with India. New Delhi has repeatedly stated that it has a "direct stake" in a stable, democratic federal Myanmar. The 1643-kilometre-long land boundary means that the Myanmar military is a stakeholder in northeast India's security, even as New Delhi aspires to have the country act as a connectivity bridge between northeastern India and Southeast Asia.

The San Suu Kyi party addressed the public on Saturday for the first time since February 1, military takeover, stated that "This darkest moment of the nation and the moment that the dawn is close" the video posted Shadow governments website and social media. Military Junta banned the media from covering any activities of the opposition. Several killings occurred in different protests in the country against the military coup. Besides, The United States and Europe have expressed strong reactions against the arrest of the country's de facto leader, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, and President U Win Myint.

Myanmar facing the involvement of its neighbor since the 1990s; India, China and the USA, played a pragmatic role in the politics of Myanmar. However, all countries remained silent on the genocide of Rohingya Muslims. Millions of Muslims slaughter during the genocide but the so-called powers just played the role of watchdog. In the contemporary situation, the USA and China mentioned opposite stances on the coup. The USA sanctioned some of the companies and imposed sanctions on the military generals by blocking their access to $1 billion in the US, and China is supporting the Military regime. However, in all the scenario, India was restraining its silence on the coup. The Myanmar military showing no signs yet of backing down, India will likely navigate the situation quietly. New Delhi's style will more likely resemble ASEAN's slightly aloof middle path of engagement, rather than Washington's punitive strategy.

The ambiguity between India and the USA on the Military regime issue is evident because during the 3rd Quad Ministerial Meeting FEB 18, India and the USA reiterated the rule and law for the democratic transition in Southeast Asia. However, India is still silent on the military coup in Myanmar and the USA already sanctioned Military aid. Indian spokesperson stated that, "So we are therefore monitoring the situation very closely in that country. We are also engaged on the issue as a member of the UN Security Council."

On both occasions, New Delhi avoided making any comment on the Tatmadaw's large-scale crackdown on pro-democracy elements, nor did it appeal to the top military brass to release civilian leaders.

The strategy of India to destroy the Myanmar ignited the internal rift between civilians and Military personals. India indirectly supports the Military coup because silence is also the one supporting in the international arena. They plan to disrupt the peace and pave the way for international forces to install their forces in India's neighboring countries and on the sea routes of the Indian and Pacific Ocean to counter China. Instead of discussing joint exercises and training provided to Myanmar, strengthening maritime security by joint surveillance and capacity building, medical co-operation, pollution response

and developing new infrastructure," they indulge in proxies to disrupt the peace force them to start another arms struggle in the region.

There were reports of India providing funds and weapons to the militant outfits hiding in India assigned for the terrorist activities in Myanmar. India's Long-Term Strategic in 1990, Daw Aung San Su Kyi's National League for Democracy won 392 out of 492 contested seats, in which India highly supported the Democratic cause. Now India's muted response to Myanmar's military coup is the former's long-term strategic interest. Myanmar is key to the Modi government's Act East policy to counter China's growing influence in the Asia Pacific region.

Going forward, India would need the Myanmar army's support for the smooth completion of the Kaladan project, mainly to keep the Rohingya Muslims at bay. India support for the dictatorship is challenging for the USA because the USA strategy is to promote democracy. Also, India pressurizes Myanmar Military for more crackdowns and genocide of the Muslims in the coming days if India maintains "friendly ties" with the Junta.

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